Deciding whether or not we should spend hundreds of billions of dollars across 11 categories of investments is a big question. To provide complete information, this brief is necessarily long. Likely, it would take you more than the 90 minutes you committed when you joined to read each part carefully. If you are willing to spend the extra time, that will be a great help as the nation contemplates such a significant investment.
If you are not able to spend more than 90 minutes, we invite you to dig in where you think it is warranted and scan the information more quickly where that feels appropriate.
Decision science suggests that with thousands of us each making our own determinations about where to investigate more deeply, the overall results will reflect the full range of information provided to a surprising degree.
To make the topic more manageable, we have critically reviewed and then summarized hundreds of pages of studies, reports, and proposals. We have also designed this brief to be easily scannable, including many graphics that quickly summarize the most relevant information.
While you’re welcome to scan some sections, all the questions are required. You will not be able to submit your responses until you have answered each question. Please scan the information, particularly the graphs, sufficiently that you can form a reasonably informed answer.
One note of caution. We all have a tendency to seek out information that confirms our prior beliefs and ignore information that challenges them. Your individual judgment, and our collective results, will be wiser if we each seek out information that challenges our existing views, as well as information that supports them.
To create apples-to-apples comparisons, we focus on proposed new spending per year.
The total amounts proposed may look different than what you have heard on the news. The reporting has been inconsistent in distinguishing between how much of each proposal is already in the current baseline of expected federal funding and how much new spending in addition to the baseline is proposed. President Biden has generally described his plan in terms of new spending and has not included the baseline in his total. Senate Republicans, in contrast, have generally included the baseline funding as part of their total proposed spending.
The press has also been inconsistent in distinguishing between the timelines for spending the money. The American Jobs Plan calls for spending the total amount proposed over the course of 10 years. The Senate Republican and the Problem Solvers Caucus plans propose eight years of spending. The Common Sense Coalition plan, now with the support of President Biden, proposes spending over a five year period.
To create an apples-to-apples comparison, we have created Figure 1. Our discussion and Figure 1 focus on the average amount of new federal spending proposed per year that is above the expected federal baseline.Â
The parties have agreed to assume about $80 billion per year in baseline funding overall. Figure 1 breaks out the current baseline spending from how much each proposal would add to it. The apples-to-apples comparison then, is that President Biden’s revised American Jobs plan proposes $170 billion and the Senate Republicans’ revised plan proposes $37.7 billion. Spent over five rather than eight or ten years, the Common Sense Coalition (now supported by President Biden) proposes $115.8 billion per year. While the Problems Solvers Caucus in the House proposes slightly more in total spending than their bipartisan Senate colleagues in the Common Sense Coalition, their proposed new spending each year comes in at a much lower $77.3 billion because it is spread over eight years rather than five.
Objective benchmarks of the actual infrastructure need are one of the most useful ways of moving beyond supporting one proposal over another simply because of who proposes it. Figure 1 summarizes the four proposals and compares them to three benchmarks.
First, we provide a letter grade for the current condition of infrastructure. These grades are awarded by the American Society of Civil Engineers’ (ASCE) in their 2021 Report Card for America’s Infrastructure. Issued every four years, it is a frequently cited source on the state of American infrastructure. As seen in Figure 1, ASCE gives America’s overall infrastructure a grade of C- which is a slight improvement over the D+ it earned in 2017. Below that, we also provide the grades that ASCE awards for six of the 11 individual categories of infrastructure that we consider, as well as the trend line of whether the condition of each is declining, staying steady, or improving (they do not provide grades for the other five categories).
Second, we provide ASCE’s estimates of infrastructure funding needs where available as a benchmark. Figure 1 states each proposal in terms of the percentage of estimated funding needed to bring the grade up to a B.
Third, where available, we provide the current baseline levels of federal funding. Figure 1 expresses each proposal in terms of the percentage increase in federal baseline spending.